Jack Clark, Anthropic co-founder, estimates a ~30% chance AI research becomes substantially automated by end of 2027 and ~60%+ by end of 2028, arguing AI doesn't need genius-level creativity to self-improve.
The AI Automation Wave: Deployment, Cost, and Prediction
Current state
Anthropic finance agent templates, the real cost of Computer Use, and Jack Clark's 30% prediction for AI-automated research by 2027 — three dispatches on how far AI automation has come.
What changed recently
- Anthropic Co-Founder: 30% Chance AI Automates AI Research by End of 2027
- Anthropic Launches 10 AI Agent Templates for Financial Services
- Computer Use Is 45x More Expensive Than Structured APIs
Key tensions
Optimistic case: The AI Automation Wave: Deployment, Cost, and Prediction unlocks real, compounding leverage.
Skeptical case: reliability, cost, and control around The AI Automation Wave: Deployment, Cost, and Prediction remain unresolved.
Signals to watch
- Momentum and new coverage around “ai-agents”
- Momentum and new coverage around “anthropic”
- Momentum and new coverage around “agi”
Timeline
Latest
AI Reddit May 5, 2026 1 min read
Recent development
AI Hacker News May 5, 2026 1 min read
Anthropic released ten ready-to-run agent templates for financial services including pitchbook creation, KYC screening, and month-end close. Claude now works directly in Excel, PowerPoint, Word, and Outlook.
Recent development
AI Hacker News May 5, 2026 1 min read
A benchmark comparing vision agents (browser-use) to structured API agents on the same admin panel found vision agents cost roughly 45x more — and failed to complete the task without a 14-step explicit walkthrough.