Anthropic’s new Claude Code study matters because it tests who actually benefits from agentic coding. In roughly 400,000 sessions, task value rose 27% and non-software occupations stayed within seven points of software users on code-producing success.
Anthropic published a March 5 research paper proposing 'observed exposure,' a metric that combines theoretical LLM capability with real-world Claude usage. The study finds little evidence of rising unemployment in the most exposed occupations so far, but says projected job growth is weaker and hiring for younger workers may be slowing.