#cpi

June CPI rose 3.5% year over year, below the 3.8% forecast and down from 4.2% in May. The monthly CPI fell 0.4%, core CPI eased to 2.6%, and markets pushed the expected next Fed hike toward December.

U.S. consumer prices rose 3.8% annually in April — 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus and the highest since May 2023. Energy prices surged 17.9% year-over-year as WTI oil topped $100 per barrel amid the Iran-Hormuz conflict, while real average hourly wages turned negative on an annual basis for the first time in three years. CME Group data shows markets now pricing roughly 30% probability of at least one Fed rate hike before year-end.

South Korea's consumer price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in April 2026, hitting its highest level in 21 months, driven by a fuel-price shock tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Gasoline prices surged 21% and diesel 30% year-on-year, complicating the Bank of Korea's room to cut interest rates further.