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Finance May 12, 2026 2 min read

U.S. consumer prices rose 3.8% annually in April — 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus and the highest since May 2023. Energy prices surged 17.9% year-over-year as WTI oil topped $100 per barrel amid the Iran-Hormuz conflict, while real average hourly wages turned negative on an annual basis for the first time in three years. CME Group data shows markets now pricing roughly 30% probability of at least one Fed rate hike before year-end.