Saudi Aramco reported Q1 2026 adjusted net income of $33.6 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $31.2 billion by 7.7% and rising 26% year-over-year. CEO Amin Nasser credited the East-West Pipeline — now at maximum 7.0 million bpd capacity — for bypassing the Hormuz blockade and delivering crude to locked-out customers.
Iran's Army spokesperson warned on May 10 that ships from countries joining U.S. Iran sanctions will be barred from the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude closed Friday at $101.29 per barrel, up 95% in Q1, with cumulative supply losses approaching one billion barrels.
President Trump issued a July 4 ultimatum for the EU to ratify the Turnberry trade agreement, threatening to raise tariffs to 'much higher' levels if Brussels misses the U.S. 250th birthday deadline. The EU Commission affirmed its commitment but acknowledged talks are incomplete. On the same day, a U.S. trade court ruled Trump's 10% global tariff unlawful — the second judicial rebuke of administration trade overreach this year.
The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled on May 7 that Trump's 10% across-the-board import tariffs exceed presidential authority under the 1977 IEEPA. The decision injects legal uncertainty into the administration's tariff regime but does not automatically suspend collection while appeals proceed.
April nonfarm payrolls came in at 115,000, more than double the Dow Jones consensus of 55,000, in the strongest labor market upside surprise in recent months. Unemployment ticked up to 4.3% as more workers re-entered the labor force. The beat sharply reduces the case for a June Fed rate cut, with market expectations now pointing toward September 2026.
Whirlpool shares fell 20% Thursday after the appliance maker declared the Iran war caused a 'recession-level industry decline' in the U.S. as consumer confidence collapsed in late February and March. Skyrocketing fuel costs are driving demand destruction in large-ticket household goods.
ADP's National Employment Report showed 109,000 private sector jobs added in April 2026 — the strongest monthly gain since January 2025. The figure came in 9.2% below economist consensus of 120,000, leaving markets weighing two competing signals: the labor market is recovering but slowly. The official BLS Non-Farm Payrolls report, due later this week, is the definitive read on US labor market health.
A US-Iran peace deal framework is advancing, with proposed terms including a freeze on Iran's nuclear enrichment, release of frozen Iranian assets, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. Iran is expected to respond formally within 48 hours through Pakistan as mediator. Brent crude has fallen 14% from $126 to around $108, with WTI dropping below the $100 psychological level. Equity futures rallied broadly on the development.
The U.S. SEC formally proposed on May 5, 2026 allowing public companies to substitute semiannual 10-S filings for traditional quarterly 10-Q reports. The Trump-backed rule change is optional — companies could still file quarterly — but opens a public comment period before a possible vote in 2026–2027.
South Korea's consumer price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in April 2026, hitting its highest level in 21 months, driven by a fuel-price shock tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Gasoline prices surged 21% and diesel 30% year-on-year, complicating the Bank of Korea's room to cut interest rates further.
South Korea's KOSPI benchmark crossed 7,000 for the first time in its history on May 6, 2026, surging 4.54% to 7,252.09 in early trade. The milestone is driven by semiconductor-sector strength — buoyed by AMD's 15% overnight gain — and optimism over U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks that eased oil-supply risk.
The ECB left its deposit rate at 2.00% on April 30 and kept the main refinancing and marginal lending rates at 2.15% and 2.40%. The bigger message was that energy prices are now pushing inflation risks up while growth risks are moving the other way.